Tripadvisor's Inflection Point: Viator Surpasses Hotels
25.08.2023 - 13:00
/ skift.com
/ Dennis Schaal
/ Matthew Goldberg
Tripadvisor reached an historic milestone: For the first time since acquiring Viator nearly a decade ago, revenue from this tours and activities brand in the second quarter surpassed that of what has traditionally been Tripadvisor’s foundational business, hotel metasearch.
And that inflection point is likely to be the case for full-year 2023, as well.
In a research note earlier this month, BTIG’s Jake Fuller and Kevin Dolan estimated that Viator’s 2023 revenue would increase 46% to $718 million while Tripadvisor’s branded hotel, or metasearch, business would fall behind at $641 million. BTIG characterized Viator’s growth, which has dragged down Tripadvisor’s profitability, as “a bright spot,” even as the financial services firm lowered its full-year 2023 EBITDA estimates for Tripadvisor to $300 million, from the prior $332 million. “At Viator we are reinforcing our leadership position in experiences by investing in awareness, enhanced products and repeat bookings to capture more market share,” Tripadvisor CEO Matthew Goldberg told financial analysts August 3.
The implications of this turning point are significant. Among them, it places Tripadvisor to a greater degree in the boots-on-the-ground online travel agency space because Viator is a booking business while metasearch is an advertising enterprise.
Viator isn’t profitable, and even if there is a path to profitability, profits in tours and activities — as well as the shopping cart size — generally are smaller by a number of measures compared with the hotel advertising business.
Tripadvisor’s 2014 acquisition of Viator for a mere $200 million is looking increasing smart. It has been the fastest-growing part of the Tripadvisor business over the past few years, and Viator is considered by many to be the leading player.
Viator’s revenue is overtaking Tripadvisor’s increasingly challenged hotel metasearch business as major advertisers such as Expedia Group and Booking Holdings over the last few years have removed a portion of their advertising spend in metasearch and applied it increasingly toward enticing app downloads and loyalty program sign-ups, as well as brand marketing.
Google has certainly hurt metasearch competitors, including Tripadvisor, Kayak, Trivago and Skyscanner, but Google Hotels is facing pressure of its own from big advertisers diversifying their spend toward other channels, and a barrage of looming antitrust efforts.
But observers wonder about Viator’s path to profitability — it lost $2 million in adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter — given significant content management and customer service costs, as well as portions of its revenue coming from relatively expensive third-party partnerships.
On both a percentage and absolute