Border Bottlenecks Widen Travel’s Divide
25.08.2023 - 14:25
/ skift.com
/ Dawit Habtemariam
The pre-Covid world where people could move (relatively) freely across borders for leisure, information, education and work won’t be coming back next year, as the West will continue to shut out millions of people from Africa, Asia and Latin America due to the slow return of their visa processing staff.
The situation is especially problematic in the United States, where refugees were shut out due to the Trump Administration’s cap of 15,000 refugees and reduced refugee processing staff. Only 25,400 refugees were admitted in the 2022 fiscal year even though the Biden Administration promised to admit the 125,000, meaning it fell short by 80 percent. Expect the administration to try again in the 2023 fiscal year.
Visa processing delays will be de facto travel bans in 2023. Wait times to get an interview at U.S. embassies to obtain a B-1 or B-2 visa (visitor visa) for aspiring first-time visitors from India, Mexico, Colombia, Brazil and other key markets outside the U.S. Visa Waiver Program exploded to over an average of 400 days, according to the U.S. Travel Association.
The delays will prevent 6.6 million international inbound visitors from coming to the U.S. and cost the country $12 billion in forgone spending next year. The primary causes of the delays have been due to a combination of the Trump Administration’s State Department hiring freezes, reduced staffing levels at embassies due to the pandemic and pent-up travel demand.
B-1/B-2 interview wait times for first-time visitors from the U.S.’s top inbound markets
The number of inbound visitors prevented from coming to the U.S. due to visa delays
Projected lost revenue from curtailed inbound tourism in 2023
Europe has also had “really pathetic turnaround times,” said European Tourism Association Director of Policy Tim Fairhurst. Just like the U.S. the UK and many European nations are still playing catch up with their staffing capacity amid high demand from the non-Western world. Portugal and the UK have prolonged labor shortages due to their sluggish visa processing policies.The Belgian government has promised 2023 will be a year of faster visa processing times for citizens from countries that have not had a visa-liberalization agreement.
“Our members, who include tour operators who bring visitors from Asia to Europe, basically told us ‘We are losing business. The bookings were done but we had to cancel the whole thing because some of the people didn’t get visas,” said Fairhurst.
Some non-Western countries are going in the opposite direction by making visa attainment easier for visitors from the Western world. Saudi Arabia, for example, relaxed and streamlined its visa processing for residents from the U.S., UK and the European Union on September 1.