What impact would Airbnb’s diminishing New York City footprint have for hotels? One major hotel operator in the city believes the shortfall will contribute to a significant “tailwind” for hotels in 2024.
31.08.2023 - 03:45 / skift.com / Dennis Schaal
Thousands of Airbnb listings could be at risk after September 5 when New York City has said it will begin to enforce its host registration law regarding short-term rentals.
Estimates are a moving target.
Even if listings are still on the platform, Airbnb says it will turn off calendars for stays with ineligible hosts starting September 5.
There are several rules that determine eligibility, including: Registered hosts can only book stays for fewer than 30 days and they must be present during the guest’s stay. In addition, hosts must register with NYC’s Office of Special Enforcement – just 257 applications have been approved so far, Skift reported this week.
And how the city will enforce the law is unclear. Skift obtained an email from the city’s Public Advocate office to a host that stated: “OSE will not be proactively issuing fines unless there is an egregious violation; such as hosting a large number of people without being registered. There are a large number of applications pending; however, people who have been making significant efforts to register may be given leniency by the agency.”
Still, Airbnb has said it generated $85 million in revenue from New York City in 2022, and the number of listings at risk is sizable, according to data provided to Skift by AirDNA.
Let’s say OSE has approved 1,000 registrations by next Tuesday, which would be a stretch. That would still leave 8,500 private rooms unregistered. And there are 7,500 whole homes that are subject to the new regulations. That’s 16,000 – or 70% of the 23,000 active listings – that Airbnb can’t take bookings for.
AirDNA’s chief economist, Jamie Lane, said he’s focusing on what will happen with the 4,100 very active whole home listings, which presumably must abide by the more stringent regulations, and are responsible for around 40% of Airbnb’s revenue in the city.
Much of this may change. The city may ramp up its speed of registration approvals and rejections. And some of those non-exempt whole homes could convert to start taking minimum stays of 30 days or longer, which falls outside the short-term rental rules, or convert some of the homes into acceptable shared spaces.
Other cities that have implemented short-term rental regulations have seen their host numbers bounce back after sharp drops in the beginning. It’s possible that New York City will do that, as well.
Skift reported this week that the city had only approved 257 host applications, denied 72, and returned 479, requesting clarifications. The Office of Special Enforcement had only reviewed around 25% of the 3,250 applications received, with more than half of these arriving after August 8 when an Airbnb lawsuit challenging the registration enforcement was dismissed.
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What impact would Airbnb’s diminishing New York City footprint have for hotels? One major hotel operator in the city believes the shortfall will contribute to a significant “tailwind” for hotels in 2024.
Looking for a short-term rental stay via Airbnb, Vrbo or Booking.com in New York City for the Thanksgiving holiday? One week after the city implemented tough host registration requirements, you can expect to see listings that violate the rules, more hotels, and stays in New Jersey.
Florence has been at the top of my travel bucket list for years, and this summer I finally crossed it off. It's since made its way to the top of another list of mine—my ranking of favorite cities. The food, the architecture, the rich history, and, of course, the gelato make it a city like no other. What I loved most about Florence was how surprisingly small it is—every restaurant, museum, and tourist attraction I hoped to visit was in walking distance of one another, which made seeing everything I possibly could see during my three-day stay doable. Hoping for an accommodation that was a little more homey and spacious than a hotel, my partner and I booked a gorgeous Airbnb with a private terrace in the heart of Florence.
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September 5 was the first day of New York City’s short-term rental registration rules, but the city’s electronic verification system isn’t operational yet, Skift has learned from three sources familiar with the new process.
If you search for short-term rentals on Booking.com, Vrbo and, to a lesser extent, on Airbnb in New York City for stays after Tuesday’s deadline mandating that hosts be registered, you’ll still find numerous listings that seemingly flout the rules.
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Hosts of at least 23,000 short-term rentals in New York City are being forced to reevaluate or end their businesses as Airbnb blocks them from making new bookings.
New York City’s short-term rental regulations could slash up to 70% of Airbnb’s 23,000 active listings in the city after September 5. Experts are divided on how the move might affect hotels, and their forecasts are foggy. Yet the analyses reveal interesting details about this critical lodging market regardless.
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